Fed's Rate Cut Plan and Stock Market Trends
TLDR; The Fed's plan for methodical rate cuts is unrealistic. The history shows rapid and massive cuts during economic downturns, and the speaker predicts a similar trend in the near future.
⚖️ Fed's Rate Cut Plan
Chris Waller's cautious approach to interest rate cuts is criticized as unrealistic.
The Fed has historically resorted to rapid and massive rate cuts during economic downturns.
The speaker predicts a potential rapid slashing of rates, especially close to the upcoming election.
📈 Stock Market Trends
The speaker discusses historical stock market trends in relation to the Fed's rate cuts.
The 80s era is cited as a period of volatility but not mega pain for the market.
The 08 recession is highlighted as very rapid and painful, contrasting with the current cycle.
💼 Inflation and Jobs Focus
Waller's shift towards balancing inflation and jobs is seen as a delusional strategy.
The speaker believes that a methodical rate cut approach is not feasible given the current economic indicators.
The IMF's report on the impact of rate changes is referenced to support the speaker's viewpoint.
⚠️ Delusional Fed
The speaker asserts that the Fed's delusional plan will likely be bullish for stocks.
The prediction of a rapid slashing of rates is made, with the expectation of a significant impact on interest rate sensitive sectors.
The speaker emphasizes that the Fed's proposed approach has never been seen before and predicts a return to rapid rate cuts.